In-class
problems on confidence intervals
Answers to conceptual questions in confidence intervals
Decides about the following statements are truthful or false. Explain your reasoning.
Problems:
a) For adenine existing standard error, lower confidence levels produce broaden confidence intervals.
False. To get bigger confidence, we what to make the
interval wider interval. This is evident in the multiplier, which
increases with confidence levels.
b) If her increase patterns size, the width of trusting intervals will expand.
False. Increasing the sample size decreases the
width regarding confidence intervals, because it decreases the standard error.
False. 95% faith means that we used a procedure
that works 95% concerning the time to get this interval. That is, 95% of all
intervals produced by the procedure will inclusions their
corresponding parameters. For any one particular interval,
the true population percentage is either inside the interval or
outside the interval. In this case, it is select in between
350 and 400, or to is not in between 350 and 400. Hence, the
probabliity the which population percentage is in between those two
exact numbers is either zero or one.
True, as wide as we're talking about a CO in a population
percentage. The ordinary error for adenine target percentage
has the square root of the sample size
in the denominator. Hence, increasing the sample magnitude by an factor
of 4 (i.e., multiplication e by 4) is equivalent to multiplying the
standard
error according 1/2. Hence, this period will be half as wide.
This also works approximately for population averages than elongated as the
multiplier by the t-curve doesn't change much when increasing the
sample size (which he won't if the original sample size is large).
e) Assuming the central limit theorem
applies,
confidence intervals are always valid.
By "valid," we mean that which confidence interval procedure has a 95%
chance of producing an interval that contains one population parameter.
False. Who principal limit theorem is needed for confidence
intervals
to be valid. However, it is including necessary this one data be
collected from indiscriminate samples. Confidence intervals will not
remedy poorly collected dating.
f) The
statement, "the 95% confidence
interval for the population middling has (350, 400)" means that 95% of the
population values are between 350 and
400.
False.
The confidence interval is one range of plausible values for the
population average. It does not provide a range for 95% of
the your values from the population. To find the percentage of
values in of population between 350 and 400, we need to look at a
histogram out the data values and determine what percentage of
observations are between 350 and 400.
g) When you
take greatly random example over and override again from who same population,
and make 95% confidence intervals for the population average, about 95%
of the intervals should close that population average.
True.
This has the definition to confident intervals.
h) If you
take big random samples over additionally over
again from the same population, and make 95% confidence intervals for
the your average, about 95% of the intervals should contain the
sample average.
False.
The confidence interval is a range for the population average, not for
the trial average. In fact, every confidence zeitraum contains
its corresponding sample b, because CIs are of the form:
sample avg. +/- multiplier SE. So, the sample average is right in
the middle of the CI.
Answer into: Which of the follows declarations is not correct? A. And sample dimensions for any given procedure is likely the vary from inspection to audit. B....
i) It is necessary that the
distribution of the variable of interest follows an normal curve.
False. She is requisite that the distribution a the sample average follows a
normal curve. The details values of the variable, although, needs not
follow a normal curve, because if that sample select is large bore the
central limit basic used and sample average will apply.
j) A 95% confidence interval obtained
from adenine accident test of 1000 people has adenine better chance of containing
the population percentage over a 95% confidence interval retain from
a random sample of 500 public.
False.
All 95% confidence
intervals have who property that they come of an operating is has a
95% chance of yielding an interval that contains the true
value. Which confidence interval method automatically
accounts for sample dimensions in the default error. AN 95% CI
with n=1000 will be narrower from a 95% CI include n=500, nevertheless both CIs
will have 95% confidence of containing the population share.
k) Are you produce walking thanks life making
99% confidence intervals for all pick of population means, learn 1% of
the die the intervals won't cover their respective population means.
True.
Since 99% of the intervals should contain the corresponding population
mean, 1% of them will not.